Calculating Figs in Unusual Circumstances (1126 Views)

Gurus of the Fig-
I have a question about how figs are calculated in
> certain races- On Saturday, Thatcher Street won the Opening Verse at
> Churchill going a mile on the turf. On paper, this race may have drawn tougher than the only other turf race (a graded stakes) that stayed on the turf that day. There were no
> other similar races run on the turf that day and with the rain, the
> conditions were unusual at Churchill. How do you guys put that
> performance in perspective? Seems tough!

Racewise, Thatcher Street also ran on what I think was a pretty dead inside turf path
> and was still able to win- so saved ground but perhaps
> worked harder. Again a tough call on the
> numerology.

Any other methods that you guys employ to find a likely winner in race situations like this- pure closing numbers, pilot edge?
>
> Just trying to learn a little bit here.

Thanks for any input!