Happy BC to all. Mega Pools, casual money, full fields where you can get 30/1 on Grade 1 or Group 1 winners, I live for days like this!!!
Race 3: A short and simple sequence here with a protection spread in the final leg. Scuba & Melmich, I know I should include Hard Aces and I may in a very small saver but really like the top 2 off the numbers and Walsh seems to really do well in the marathons.
Race 4: Jazzy Times & Prospect Park with a big extra punch on PP. PP was well thought of on the Derby trail last year, has had some issues, last 3 works has had the screws tightened down.
Race 5: Isa Firecraker & Ms Wakaya are both heading south number wise and represent some value in the heat. Vai and My Pi Romancer are Captain Obvious.
Race 6: Jimbo thinks I'm nuts keying a Euro rabbit who will get 90% of my money in 2 pick 4 sequences. I will save for a small amount in the last leg of the first sequence and first leg of the 2nd one with 2,3,6,8,11,13 as I'm not totally on a financial suicide mission. A vertical play with Lancaster Bomber first and 2nd with the above in tri's and supers and a 1,2,3 ex, trip, box with BIG presses on 1/2,3 exactas.
Lancaster Bomber is the perfect storm in my world. A forward moving TG Euro, FTL, the rail, with speed for a short run into the first bend. His last 3 were all against Churchill, his stablemate and in the Brit bet shops is less than even money to take the Epsom Derby & 2000 Guineas next year. Aidan O'Brien and the Coolmore operation are poised for a BIG weekend. They are IMHO the worlds top outfit and cross the pond for the money regularly getting more than there share.
He sends over 13 horses with 13 different exercise riders and will use 3 different jocks in the afternoon. Ryan Moore is his obvious go to guy and top shelf on that side of the pond for sure. A O seems to love bringing his 2nd stringers here and taking home the top prize. He puts up a neophyte on this one, everyone thinks he is the rabbit for Intelligence Cross who is taking big money on the other side.
The foundation he got from seting the pace for Churchill in 2 boggy 7f races almost paid off @ 66/1 in his last. My money is saying coast to coast today.
Race 7: Dortmund is awfully tough to go past. The only scenario I see him getting beat is if he and Run Happy get too happy together on the back side too early.
Gun Runner is sitting on a new top and Point Piper has 5 lifetime wins, 4 at 2 turn miles, a good effort giving Dortmund 2 lbs at a mile on 10/24/15. He chased all the big boys at 9 & 10 furlongs. He is bit slow on TG but will be flying late to get into the number a 20 plus/1. 3,4,9 ex and tri box, pressing Dortmund on top.
Race 8: I like the 2 Chad's and the Joseph O'Brien horse the most, however there are some fast horses taking the worst of the draw. Lull hopefully gets a ground saving trip depending on which Rosario shows up? Clement not giving this one Lasix surprises me as much as the fact that he has Never won a BC race!
2,3,7,11 are the main squeezes, 5,13,14 are the savers.
Race 9: My previous stated opinion on Songbird stands, IMHO they all will chase and none will catch her.
Race 10: Oscar Nominated is a stick out and a single in the final leg of the rolling pick 4's. A vertical play of 4/1,3,5,6 is in order.
If my timid opinions are correct it will be a HUGE day. If not? I have a back hoe on call for tomorrow to dig up the back yard looking for money!
Good luck,
Frank D.
