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Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '18 (1040 Views)

April 19, 2018 03:02AM
Take that 25 seconds with a grain of salt, Meydan must have a very short run up to the timer similar to Gulstream Park 1 mile races where the 2nd quarter is always faster than the 1st.
For comparison, later that night Thunder Snow led in 25.73 (http://www.dubairacingclub.com/race/racing-info/trakus-chart). West Coast, who is not slow ran 25.88.

Medelsshon does have natural speed and has been forwardly placed on all surfaces, he ran 23 and 47 on the Delmar turf no more than 1.5 lengths back. He will be in the first quarter of the field and looking to stay out of trouble. Only an inside draw will force a more aggressive approach. In Meydan, Moore hustled him out of gate to take advantage of the speed/rail bias. For more on that see this lengthy youtube video which details the extent of bias. [www.youtube.com] courtesy of Phillip Walton Vosburgh

FWIT Andy Sterling thought it more a rail bias but nonetheless it did impact the performance and final figure. If you deduct for said bias then he still has a co-top? Would this lessen the likely bounce forthcoming? Or is a super effort still too hard to pair up or have only a slight regression no matter how it was earned? He will have 5 weeks to recover but an international flight and quarantine will cut into that recovery time. He is a May 17 foal, so a young 3 yr old is up against it on several counts. Being fastest going, you have to decide what do with him before you move on to the rest.
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