Re: Justify (1218 Views)

Hey Face Man,

Always good to hear your thoughts. Sad to say I like your 12/1 on Mendelssohn better than my 25/1 on Magnum Moon.

Earlier I posted if someone/anyone thinks Justify lays over the derby field and that person certainly is not me, yet. That someone may have considered the following facts.


2017 - Battle of Midway a 5 or 6 point SoCal horse becomes a TG 1 @ CD

2016 - Nyquist a 2² - 3 point performer becomes a TG -0² @ CD

2015 - American Pharaoh continues improving up 2 pts @ CD
- Firing Line moves up 2² at CD

2014 - Supposed Underlay California Chrome didn't have to improve to waltz home a winner.

2013 - Goldencents regressed badly

2012 - I'll Have Another TG 1's & Bodemeister's TG 3 somehow blitz well regarded TG 2's and 3's of Union Rags, Alpha, El Padrino, Gemologist, Take Charge Indy.

2011 - Midnight Interlude - Baffert
- Comma To The Top - Miller
- Ran more like pretenders than contenders.

2010 - Looking At Lucky (moves 3 pts. back toward top) demonstrates the importance of the trip in a field with several closely matched rivals. Super Saver improves from TG 2 to TG 1 saves ground and gets the roses.

2009 - Pioneer of The Nile a Socal 3-4 becomes a CD TG 0 which surprisingly isn't good enough.

Not many want to bet the favorite but lately those that get the money @ CD come from west of Barstow and move up 2-3 points. We have a couple who could fit that criteria this year. Just a recent trend and of course may or may not continue in 2018,