Re: Jersey Girl Stakes (724 Views)

Or you could pass.

On the other— the point is not how the horses run on a particular day. The point is some figures are clearly wrong, blatantly, ridiculously, and if you could get them to post the whole race (Pat Day, the ones Tiz and the other were out of), which you can’t, you would see how ridiculous they are.

Beyer doesn’t get them all dead on, and obviously doesn’t use weight or ground. But they don’t make gross errors— we would be talking 10-30 points on their scale in the examples mentioned.

The reason for this, as I’ve said before, is that what The Jakes do is detached from reality— literally. It’s a set of rules and a process that produces a result, and they go with that result whether it makes sense or not in the real world. If they have to give 20s to a whole field of horses who consistently run 10s, they do.

No serious figure maker on the planet does that.