Re: Ohio Derby (577 Views)

I'll start with the horse expected to provide the biggest reward, #11 Channel Fury. This one Presents opportunity and problems. The opportunity is he could improve some more although most would doubt that. The problems are: a) most of his experience has been sprinting, you won't be alone if you don't expect him to be around at the finish, B) He will be prominent through, at least the first 6F, and that complicates the trips of Masqueparade(10) Ethical Judgement(5) and Promise Keeper(1). If #11 doesn't rate the three(3) contenders listed above are faced with either running faster in the first half of the race than they are accustomed to or changing tactics some and dropping more off the pace than typical.

Note - this is the same phenomenon we saw in the Texas Derby at Lone Star Prist pointed us at a week or two ago. In that race, the horses previously had run with the pace dropped back half a dozen lengths and came storming home in the stretch.

Because it would be a cheap thrill I will put this one in 4th position of superperfectas under a group with number power and possessing some early speed. e.g. 1,4,5,10