Re: Cigar Mile (542 Views)

Going with Mott’s horse. Second fastest at the weights with Irad. 10-1 seems more than fair. I do think both AMERICANREVOLUTION and INDEPENDENCE HALL will bounce. AMERICANREVOLUTION off a 5 point top in the slop, which I’m always dubious of slop tops, and INDEPENDENCE HALL coming in off of a paired top which he last ran back in January. Nothing leads me to believe he’ll run back to that figure today off of 5 weeks rest. Any of the others have as good a chance to run in the tri. They’re a point or so slower than the fastest but they’re at least consistent. Of the little bit I’ve witnessed of Baltas’ runners in California, his horses are outrunning their figures. I’m wary of him shipping in for this.