Re: FOY Rail Question (302 Views)

I had the same thought as you, but found it hard to get head-on GP replays so cannot look at other races for this.

I ultimately took the view he (RNR) was likely short in the FOY, and KPM was looking down the road. After scratching from the BC with a rear hoof issue, the colt missed all of November, December, and three weeks of January before showing up on the GP work tab.

Here are his works: 1/22 36b - 1/29 35.3b - 2/5 48.3b - 2/12 50.1b - 2/19 59.3b - 2/26 58.3b.

So he doesn't work as far as 5f until two weeks before his return. The old logic from Coach Lukas was you cannot miss a day from 2 to 3 bringing a runner up to the first Saturday in May. This one missed approx 82 days.

He will need more points to make the gate 5/7. I hope he gets them Saturday, but KPM mentioned the Lexington as a fail safe.

I tend to get overly enamored with some runners. When I watched his Kee win, his move looked Azeri-like. He showed a little something going up the rail at GP, but he wasn't going anywhere when he got bumped straightening out.

All the big questions should be answered Saturday.