No expert, but for what its worth:
The first question is: what # will be needed to win this race. I'll hazard a guess somewhere in the "1-2" range. Zero??? hmmmm not here with these, again just a guess.
The paramount question revolves around War Emb, Medaglia, & Harlans. Each will be trying to put together a 4th great race in 9 weeks (2 range or less, older "0") Harlans is close. Early three year olds just don't do that. [They'll probably roll 1,2,3 now LOL] WE could run an "0-2" and be contentious, but I just don't think so. They might clunk up on the bottom of the exotics, but I'm not that confident they will.
Request may have been a short horse in the Derby and had a slight move back to his 2yo top of 3.5. He's ripped several 2.5's this year which puts him in the mix without a big forward move necessary, should be a price.
USS Tinosa is a very live price play. His 1.5 in the San Rafael makes him a player. Bothered in the SA Derby and slowed to a 5.5. Missing the Derby was a blessing. He runs better with longer breaks between races and the two extra from the SA Derby helps immensley and has been training very well at CD.
No Perfect Drift or Sunday Break :-(
Crimson Hero paired 6.75's and needs a big jump up to get a slice.
Booklet has a top of 3.25 in the FOY big "X" in FL Derby guessing 6 in the Blueg. Rest may have helped, Prado trying to rate him hurt in the BG. Will give WE heat on the front end.
Easyfrom has a 5.0 top in the La Derby likely bounced a bit in the Lex 7???
Equality has a couple in the 4 range prior to the Aventura, may have repeated something close. Forward move puts him right there at a big price.
Magic Weisner isn't flattered by Smoked Em's effort in the Lone Star Derby, has 4's prior to the Tesio, with the wide trip likely has a similar fig again.
Menacing Dennis, who???? 5.25 in '02 debut in a sprint, distance ??????
Proud Citizen: Preak will be 4th race in 6 weeks. 4.25 in Lex and 0.5 in Derby should cook his goose, but it is Lukas
Straight Gin: Zito runner earned a 3.0 in a GP alw. Every time he faces the big boys, he gets his nose bloodied. O-2- heading into BG. will wait for an official fig before passing judgement.
Tinosa/Request exacta might pay a bundle, very usable horses with legit shots. Final judgement later in the week.
Later,
May they all come home safely!
bdhsheets@hotmail.com
