Re: pool 2 derby favorites ?? (1122 Views)

OPM wrote:
>
> A word to the wise, don't forget the fastest horse, Came Home
> (or maybe Harlan's Holiday). Horses almost never explode in
> the Derby, they might improve a point or so but if Sarland is
> running 5's after the Wood(or even 3's) he is not winning the
> Derby. Also, exactly what is it that you don't like about
> HH's line?

I thought Harlan's was the best. But look at it this way, did you think he ran better than a 2 on Saturday? If so, do you think he is gonna regress, pair-up, or move forward in his next start? AFTER that is his Derby start.

If the Derby were in 3 or 4 weeks, I'm playing Harlan's, but it's ~7 weeks away.

Saarland on the other hand is just getting started on his 3yo campaign. He's fresh & as a 3yo son of Unbridled he has plenty of room to improve on his 2yo #'s.

The fact that he won at 9 furlongs as 2yo is reassuring also (I know the KD is 10).

Saarland's race Sunday was a mere prep. I considered it a good work.

I think Shug has the Derby horse. Can this change? Sure. But right now I like where they stand.