Re: macho again (613 Views)

There were two classic 02X patterns in the race. TOE and Macho Again. In my opinion Macho Again had the positive (likely to get back to his top or run a new top) 02X pattern. TOE's 02X pattern in relation to his overall pattern of development was less likely to get back to his top having shown no development thru the 2yo camaign and at the start of the 3yo campaign. Not only was TOE's top a bit slower than Macho Again's but the off race and the bounce race was much worse than Macho Again's. Plus TOE is basically a one number horse.
Macho Again on the other hand Paired his 2yo number 1st start at three and then ran a nice three point top next out. Then the expected bounce followed by the new top (the start of the 02X pattern). Then ran the off/bounce race (2 1/2) that was significantly better than the previous bounce after the previous new top back in Feb. Then comes the X race going 1 1/2 miles that was more like an off race than an X. The icing on the cake was the race spacing-7 weeks since the X race and the 3 months since the top for a still developing 3yo not to mention the price. Jerry's insight into the difference between the seemingly two similar 02X patterns at the seminar was spot on with both TOE and Macho Again.