Re: Oaks Workers (512 Views)

What can I say? Beyer's been making numbers for years and hasn't had the Derby right in a century or so. TG thoroughly missed the Derby the last few years. This approach isn't as easy as it seems, because you need to make hard judgments about ground loss. For what it is worth, the LA Derby outcome had about everything to do with ground loss. Mylute and Revolutionary were about equal. Their numbers were topped only by Goldencents in the SA Derby. We all want to consider that he will bounce, but O'Neill gets them to a spot and seems to keep them there (better living through chemistry or something like that.) There are a lot of other horses in a tight range, very tight range. When all is said and done the favorite Verrazano will have to jump over about five others to win. Revolutionary is TAP's best shot the way I see it and he may bounce off the Louisiana race. I mentioned the horses who seem to be moving up a small bit, race by race, and they seem most likely to get the job done: Orb, Normandy Invasion and, possibly, Verrazano. I don't think Verrazano does it mainly because he seems stuck at his level. For some reason and it may be physical he started late and he's been kept in the Pletcher hothouse. It says to me that there may be a constant battle to keep him racing sound.