Tavasco Wrote:
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> Rarely do I see a Baffert horse taken back. I see
> Govenor Charlie as a key pace factor. Remember
> last year when lightly raced Bodemeister was
> thought to be compromised by the presence of
> Trinniberg and he ran that one off his feet.
>
> I expect the same strategy. How else can he win.
> Those who expect a slow pace will be surprised.
> Catch me if you can. SoCal racing.
>
> Stevens will try a winning colors, He'll gun for
> the lead and try to throttle back. When he does or
> when Jim's horse does the same. Govenor Charllie
> will go right by if he hasn't already.
>
> I think Baffert went to Sunland for the points and
> purse of course but also to mask how fast this
> horse is. The two CA speedballs guarantee a faster
> pace than the east coasters want. Frac Daddy
> benefits.
>
> Rosario jeez loueez he must use ???? magic!
You had me up until Frac Daddy benefits from your scenario. Why? There are a half dozen faster horses in this race who can beat Frac Daddy under any scenario and if they don't beat him, the early speed will. They are MUCH faster than he is. The big question in this Derby is whether or not O'Neill can keep Goldencents from bouncing. I don't think that he can pair up his SA Derby, but if he does, he wins.
