Yes. He was the slowest of the four top finishers at Fair Grounds. But it is his race at Hawthorne that is the setup for the Preakness. I don't know what his numbers were there, but they had to be a new top for the horse. The question will be whether he can pair up or move ahead from the new level or if he will regress. If he pairs or improves and Orb regresses, he can win.
Meanwhile, that Trakus guy included a comment from Donna Brothers in his analysis...to the effect that the rail was the place to be in the Derby. That is so counterintuitive to me. I've been watching sealed tracks at Churchill for decades. I know it's anecdotal evidence, but I can't remember the rail being the place to be when the track is draining down the banks, particularly in the turns.
If she looked at it about the time of the race, that's one thing. If she looked at it following a maintenance, that's another. This is relevant, going forward, because Revolutionary either had the easiest trip or the most compromised run. If the latter, this guy will win the Belmont in a cakewalk.
