I re-read all three of your posts on this topic and wonder if you're in the right forum.
Some of the guys here do win on occasion and when you say in your May 21 post, "Like the Derby and the Preakness this race isn't worth betting unless you toss the favorite and hope. That's fine if you're desperate to bet it, but it's not a strategy." Then can you explain how I managed to NOT toss the favorite and am still holding on to several $ 340.00 exactas, several $ 1,700.00 tri's and a couple of $ 7,500 supers? Had I followed you're suggestion, I would have just passed on the race. Others using TG had very profitable Derby's even though Chrome was on their tickets also. 100% of the people on this board WILL bet the Derby every single year, as well as the Preakness AND the Belmont regardless of how daunting the task to cash may be.
You continued on that same May 21 post by saying, "I didn't expect anyone to leap up and congratulate me for my post and I don't intend to explain or defend it." Huh? Seems when people chose not leap up and congratulate you about your concept you did choose to try to explain and defend it.
In your May25 post you say, "The calculation gives you a view of the horses basic ability under a specific set of conditions." What happens when the conditions change in that horse race? I doubt any horse racing in a race and his subsequent race will under the same specific set of conditions.
You've spent a lot of time on this concept and if it works for you then bravo.
You almost imply that the ground loss figures that Jerry and TG supply are inferior to your concept, if that's the case then start your own website and see if others are interested in using your methodology. To me, TG offers the best ground figures I've seen, its just one more puzzle I don't have to unravel because it's already done for me. I, like most others, don't have the time to watch every race and put a magnifying glass on each and every horse in order to determine which horse is in which path.
Keep up the good work alm, I'm not being snarky I just think you need to go to a site where there's a lot less knowledgeable base of people to convince.
Good luck
