Agree this could be the race to take a stand, surface is a little tricky and local horses with track preference often prevail in some the lesser stakes.
If he runs well and comes out ok the Oaklawn Handicap on Arkansas Derby day might be a wager or a use in horizontals just as a toss may be in order on the 19th for the same.
The stakes schedule that day:
Saturday, March 19 - $350.000 Razorback Handicap (G3) - 4-year-olds & up, 1 1 /16 miles
Saturday, March 19 - $350,000 Azeri (G2) - Fillies and mares, 4-year-olds & up, 1 1 /16 miles
Saturday, March 19 - $900,000 Rebel (G2) - 3-year-olds, 1 1/16 miles