Re: Odds on Upstart (450 Views)

My primary focus would not include Materiality in one of the components. He had good rest between his 3 year old debut and his 2nd effort (54 days) without running a negative figure either out. The issue that could rise up is the short rest of 22 days prior to the Florida Derby and how much it really took out of him. He's coming into this race with 35 days, so I've included him in a handful of tickets. I played mostly against his lack of experience,
I certainly have a lot of respect for his raw, physical ability.
Early on the reports at CD were ambiguous from onlookers. If he would fail to break well and get trapped behind some really nice horses for awhile, he, as those same running-style types, will be up against it.
Knowing that he's really a big, strong dude that 0 to -2 may have really just built his confidence.
If he wants to invite Dortmund to a chest to chest race, it will be mano on mano, and that would be fun to watch, kinda like a Herschel Walker versus Bo Jackson battle.