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Thoro-Graph
I kind of like her in this spot. In a race where I could make a case for all entered, I'll take the rail & price and take a shot.
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I think the SCOTUS decided to hear the case preemptively, or before the legislation to repeal PASPA (Bradley Act) is put forth. Ultimately I don't think anything happens unless that happens.
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Thanks for posting this Tavasco, it really is a "good example" of thought process and working through a race to determine value. I like how you gave yourself multiple plays to choose from. That's something I need to pay more attention to, like I got the feeling you weren't really interested in playing a super in this spot at all but you still wrote it down as a possibility.
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Just to good, neither 1 or 8 contesting the lead = over pretty quick tonight
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Lanerie's always tough here, I agree price seems right to take a stab. And TAP's should fire and be a threat on the front end, getting bet a bit now though..good luck Sek
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Can't wait to read what you come up with, it is what it's all about. Anything to help along the never ending quest for value!
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Something I like to do regularly honestly. It happens more on big days when so many entered in any given stakes race can win (or appear so before the race). When they're "bunched" together like this as a default I tend to bet the longest odds to Win or WP, and then mix in the others in exactas.
I'm not sure if this is the "best" way to go about it or not? The o
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That's fair, the horse was listed below the other 3 in the analysis, I guess it's all how you interpret information. Like you said, if a horse is mentioned as playable in tri boxes and you see him at 27-1, it's up to your individual handicapping as to whether you take the leap of faith and bet him individually or not.
I can say for me personally I doubt he would have been hig
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What do you mean? To much rake overall? Or are you referring solely to the Belmont Stakes? What was short? The multi race plays?
Day started out going Baffert-Brown-TAP in the Easy goer and it still seemed to pay "ok" despite of that. You had War Story pay $10, Disco Partner paid $11.60,and the Woodford winner (Ascend given out in TG analysis) brought back $57 and a ~$250 exacta
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TAP at 5 weeks, another impressive Belmont, another notch on the belt. His were about the only two still trying at the end of the main event today.
Overall great card, great day. The "big names" showed out start to finish with enough prices mixed in to keep everything moving. This day continues to live up to the hype, as good as it gets really.
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I guess it's just their policy.... How bout Imply in the 4th, standout on TG goes 6 wide to lose by a head to the TAP.
I'm guessing he'll have the post time favorite in every race he's entered. Which would be nice as they're all suspect TG wise. Looks like a bunch of interesting spots the rest of the card.
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I'm trying to play the pick 6, and for some reason I can't play it at the Borgata?
Not sure what's going on, but this is pretty annoying? Anyone else having any kind of issues, the window here says "they can't take pick 6 bets?"
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Report seemed somewhat vague, "soft tissue" injury? Is this indicative of something along the lines of a bruise or a pulled muscle? It doesn't sound serious, hopefully we see him later in the summer. Hopefully back east as well.
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Thanks for the info, I didn't realize Jockey's weren't aware of the order of the races on any given card. I guess my next question would be when is the actual race order decided upon?
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"I'm just glad I had two in the race" BB walking to the winners circle yesterday.
He seemed shocked at the results himself. As did everyone, all the talk post race was great the 1 looked, took all the money, Cupid needed a race, OK. Not taking anything away from him, he's clearly the best going, but to his point, it's nice when you regularly have multiple (legit) s
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I hear it, I felt like throwing up just thinking of that guy. Honestly it looked like the 6 won from all the replays, at least to my eye. The feeling you have in the stretch and then the wait for the photo, then pure unencumbered misery, followed by a just at least a little bit of rage? There wouldn't be enough Whiskey in NJ to put that one to bed if it happened to me.
That was honestl
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The gates did open pretty quick after he loaded, but you think you'd be pretty dialed in going into a race like that especially when your mount needs be in it from the jump at all costs?
Poor break- jockey rushed him up to be hung 5W 5W, poor all around really. He did get a legit number though. Connections talking about Belmont, not sure how I feel about that? I wanted to give him anot
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Same basic story here, that one hurt. And you never know what would have been if he got off the rail.
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Tied for the worst Preakness finish by a derby winner since 1962...pretty strong
EDIT: TAP Tied with himself
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CC ran huge today and I was clearly wrong about that. That aside, my point was that I watched the Wood 20 times the past day and a half and just didn't see CC really run, while beaten 7 lengths. He was around a 0 and change and True Timber who he was all out to pass came in around a 3.5. TT ran inside by a path and CC broke poorly. I literally paused the race with CC hitting the finish lin
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That was impressive, although 3 of the 4 horses he picked missed the super, (he had CE winning)
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Nice work for sure.. I couldn't have been more wrong about this one
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Hoping CMM gets the lead and then gets awful brave, played him w/ gunny and the top two
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I've been watching and re watching the last efforts of the Preakness field over and over all morning. I'm at an impasse and I'm hoping someone more astute than myself can explain the Wood #'s compared to those of the Ark Derby.
Mainly how is it possible that CC went forward 2 points off that (non) effort in the Wood? He wasn't even in the screen at the wire? Further
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I assumed the regular PIM analysis for today was TGJB? Is there something else to come?
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I'll use him marginally, the whole don't get beat by the fastest horse thing.. but much like CC, I'm not convinced that he's that good Johnny? Yes he's run fast, but to me he/they are needing those in front to falter. And I personally don't think that happens. I don't see all three of the front running/pressing horses I mentioned previously giving up the ghost
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Anything to make yourself "relevant" again. That's the hot take of the season for sure.
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Has the draw opened up anymore doors for anyone here?
I've been driving the CMM bandwagon for the past 6 weeks and I'm not parking it now at a 15-1 m/l that I think will certainly go up from there, with the flood of public money coming in on the familiar "names" be it derby starters and/or trainers alike.
If AD's price action on derby day is any indicator, he
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I'm far from saying I'm against AD, but I'm equally as far away from saying I'm playing him, at least as far as a win bet is concerned.
Before the sunset last Saturday I said I liked a 3 horse tri AD,CE,CMM, not sure who if any gets the Key. But I really took a liking to CMM in watching his race replays while handicapping before the derby, loved his grit in the stretch at
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