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Thoro-Graph
I think he’s considerably faster than anyone else entered, if they “give†him the lead he should be able to relax on the front end and have plenty left coming home. It’s a matter of whether he gets the distance (I think he does). If others are sent hopefully the training pays off, he saves ground right behind the leader(s) and pounces. The jockey change should help put him in the best
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There’s no speed to contend with this time plus he’s on the rail. He’s supposed to win this race, imo
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So no lasix at SA but it’s cool at the other tracks owned/controlled by the family? It really doesn’t make sense other than a “pass the buck†type thing. To me it seems like she was willing to do whatever she could to appease a certain segment of people as long as the track doesn’t have to bare responsibility for the recent rash of breakdowns.
The whole thing wreaks of hypocrisy an
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Long time away from the track, pretty decent field, first time going two turns, first time shipping cross country, considering the circumstances he equated himself pretty well. Interested to see how he comes out of it? He was all out and appeared to be ran hard. I question if added distance will be to his benefit? Seems more Pat Day than Derby, but with all the hype surrounding this one I’d
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Do they get “cooked†in your opinion? Should be a good one..
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I definitely will, I think this will be the goto as far as Mobil horses betting goes. I briefly got a look at it on Thursday, guy that I met with owns horses himself and was excited about it, so hopefully we’ll all have an option here pretty quick...
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You’re talking about a Mobil app or something for a device correct? Right now I use William Hill, overall pretty good but there can be glitches at peak evening times before tip off. Their book inside Ocean’s is the most like Vegas, but they don’t give out drink tickets???
In a few weeks (3-20ish) I have it on good authority that a company is going to be launching a Mobil app/download th
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I wonder what they do with him next? Certainly didn’t embarrass himself after going 22&4 and 45+. Think he has some big one’s coming in the future. I mean can he rate, or the game plan was need the lead at all costs? All in all I wasn’t blown away by any that finished in front of him Saturday.
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The ladies behind the windows are way past working age hence it takes forever to get a bet in, they couldn’t be slower. The clientele’s suspect at best, but the real killer there is the traffic, it was post time at the Belmont by the time me and the girlfriend got out of the lot last time.
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Odds on and wins for fun. Looked pretty good doing it to, the 13 post is no bargain. Granted they didn’t really go early. I thought he woulda had a much tougher time clearing? Mr. $ coulda showed more fresh to? He was disappointing. Lotta spitting the bit and coming up empty in the stretch at Fairgrounds today...
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Hard to keep that quite.. Wondering what the TG number will come back at? What do you think, goes forward from here in FOY, FL Derby and on to KY assuming he stays healthy? He’ll need points as was mentioned above but strictly from a Beyer stand point 104 is already fast enough to get in the gate in early May. I’d think two preps though.
His dad took ‘em a long way in the derby, maybe
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Who’s comparable as of late? Crushed grade 1 sprints, BC champ at middle distance, and dominated the world’s richest route for an encore. Fired every single time, regardless of track, conditions, competition, all in all a great career. For my money a (much) more impressive career than going undefeated for a few months in the spring, though “history†will remember it differently I’m su
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Super Impressive, I’m riding shotgun on this guy’s band wagon. One of, if not the best effort of the winter so far imo.
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Belmont takes about 18.5% on DD’s and substantially more for pick 3/4/6 at 24%. For some reason the take out is different for pick 5’s, they’re at 15%. Regardless tough game to beat for sure...
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I think DD’s are “only†a 20% take.... King Zachary did run a pretty solid number at the spa, worth a look for sure. Mott trying to replicate blinker success he had w/ Hofburg’s big sis is interesting to.
But something about BB off the layoff somewhat out of sight for awhile and at Parx seems tough to ignore. It does seem like there’s plenty entered that are prime jump up canidat
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Sports in general are a microcosm of society. You’re correct obviously. the well connected play by different sets of rules, the money is funneled upwards ever increasingly into fewer and fewer hands. Shadowy men out of the limelight institute rules or laws that ultimately protect their peers financial interests at the detriment to everyone else. The “testing†in racing, the obsurd way fo
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I think this one takes all the money and goes off as a prohibitive favorite, right? CB is said to be super high on this one.
The all Chad exacta seems pretty likely imo
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He was never racing again after Belmont. I felt like there was an off chance he’d run in the BC classic fresh no prep, either that or be retired like he was. I think this was the most likely outcome regardless of injury.
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Proved he could be of use and do it quietly in sleepy Baltimore, but you can't hide in primetime under the bright lights of New York.
You're obviously correct, without the horrid weather and off track there was no built in excuse for all to swallow.
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This was EXACTLY my point, (and exactly the same "logic" I used to play the race)
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That was disgusting, period. An all around ugly look for racing. I instantly assumed that the other ownership interest's were financially compensated for basically doing everything they could to help the winner. The NY Post article gives the impression that it wasn't a full on top down "conspiracy" amongst all involved. While it certainly casts doubt in the direction of the
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Me to. What does this mean? Most (almost all) "smart money" isn't banging an odds on or worse favorite 24 hours before the race. So the second BB trainee going for the triple crown in three years is "luke warmish?"
Possibly the visual power of the Preakness stretch run playing a role? Really surprising though. I never thought he'd do anything other than take
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it's hard for me to think of RH as a "rabbit?" He's more one paced and grinds, I do like him to be close to the pace but I can't see him getting the lead over Justify unless he's on the dead send suicide mission like Palice Malice first time blinkers or something? And they wouldn't want Justify chasing something like that anyway, so it seems unlikely.
I rea
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For sure, do you think these prices hold? 30/1 on arguably the best bred to get the distance and interesting pattern seems like a most play in some capacity despite the poor spring campaign to date imo. Not really sure how Gronkowski is the same price as Tenfold off of a few turf races in Ireland either?
Honestly, sitting here on Tuesday night my initial thought is two of the longest odds
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that's a great excerpt, it seems I need to familiarize myself with the title, nice post, thanks
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I thought you were happy with the 14 post? My apologies if I'm thinking of somebody else, but I remember going back and forth for days about the issues with the 14 and it seemed like all the Mendelssohn backers thought it was the best possible post for him.
In fairness, despite the horrid trip/break/bumps/pinched back/traffic issues, it's asking so much, the travel, flying across th
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Totally agree, but I still feel better about another front running type signed on for the race. Looking at the probable list it seemed like he was most likely going to be alone up there.
I know a lot of people feel Justify is better with a target to run at, which is probably true, but in this spot I'll take any scenario that includes him having company the whole way around the track as o
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At least with NI entered there will be some "pace pressure" for Justify. It was looking like he would be on the front end completely uncontested. Not trying to draw any comparisons between Audible/NI or Justify/NI, strictly saying that Justify will have company up front for the first 1 1/8 or so (likely hangs in there a bit longer).
Someone to go at him early and the rest of the
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I certainly don't claim to be an expert in reading a horse's mannerisms or body language and will gladly defer to you or anyone else on here when it comes to that. And according to all reports he looked good the next morning, that said, two horses who weren't considered to be in the same league as him two weeks prior made up substantial beaten lengths to the point that Bravazo wa
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Huh? Bravazo goes by him when they change camera angles. It looks like Bravazo continues on more of a straight line while Justify begins to go "around the turn" But it appears to me that Bravazo certainly passes him?
In the video you posted if you pause it right before they switch the camera angle you can see him clearly ahead and then like I said above in the next angle they run
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