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Thoro-Graph
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SoCal, It was Swain in 98. Dettori will ride 1st call for Godolphin May 7th. To give credit where it is due Dettori tucked in and saved ground quite nicely with Blues & Royals in Dubai.
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Upper Nile
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Will we have to download the whole BC file again to get the one Juv. filly summary page?
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Upper Nile
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Interesting, last year Six Perfections wins the mile w/o Lasix. This year she's 1x lasix.
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Upper Nile
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GZ is a half bro. to City Zip not a full bro. City Zips' sire is Carson City. GZ's sire is Awsome Again. I'm not concerned about the 10F. GZ ran a huge # last year and has only gotten faster w/o regressing and I don't expect him to regress this weekend despite the trainers record on BC day. Midas Eyes is another one who ran a huge number last year as a young 3yo and has pa
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Upper Nile
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Antonius Pius never raced in Dubai. It's the anal proofreading & editing side of me coming out. Working for a textbook publisher will do that to a person. After you folks make the fixes will I be able to download another set of sheets at no charge?
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Upper Nile
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Antonius Pius in the Mile also has been gelded 4 times! What should the notations after each of the tg numbers say instead?
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Upper Nile
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Before the Dubaai race? That is what his TG sheet says. Or... More importantly was that a neg 3 1/2 run in Dubai. It dosen't say negative # but my guess is that's what you folks intended instead of gelding. It's mistakes like this that drive me batty. It brings into question the accuracy of all of the info. Regardless I would never even think of pushing my money thru the windows
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Upper Nile
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Just await and see what Fig Roses In May will run next week in the KY Cup. The performance may give cause to reconsider who can contend against GZ next month. Frankels' successes on BC days have been barely mediocre, and that's being generous. IMO 2 simple reasons Frankel does better thru the year in stakes than he has on BC day-and they are not drug related as so many who need an eas
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Upper Nile
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Azeri left her race across the street on the Oklahoma track when she went 6f in 1:11 and change. She also never went the 1 1/4 before.
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Upper Nile
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Can't leave out Ay Caramba. He's won 4 races each by 19 1/4 lengths! LOL!
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Upper Nile
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Any way you folks can filter out or delete innacurate info like this. What about the accuracy of the sire data? If that data is correct Ay Caramba is by a sire who has produced 30 wins, in North America, out of 150 starts with 15 of the wins in stakes! Here in North America. If this horse also won his last in Brazil-with 6 wins in a row he could be a serious race horse. With horses like this T
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Upper Nile
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JB, The race summary lines for this horses races in Brazil look suspect. How could he have won 4 races in a row each winning by exactly the same 19 1/4 lengths. Then comes in 6th getting beat by 19 1/4 lengths? Is it possible there's something funky with the data for this horses race running lines.
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Upper Nile
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Jimbo, All I will say is I encourage you to stop buying the analysis and instead learn to handicap using the full sheets.
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Upper Nile
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While your on the NYRA site you can watch Holy Bulls' 94 Travers which also fits the profile of a quality speed Travers victory. I'm not so quick to agree with your assessment of Lion Heart however. I just downloaded Saturday's Saratoga TG sheets so now I have 3 days to over analyze the card.
Regards,
Phil
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Upper Nile
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Im not JB but I did see and carefully listen to Mark Hopkins on Tom & Nick's show on Sunday. Some personal observations while I held myself back from calling into the show. I'd love to see the "extensive resarch" Mark mentioned and then did not produce or elaborate on which leads him and Beyer to conclude that weight does not play a factor in the outcome of races. He must
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Upper Nile
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Here's a link to an article written in the saratoga program from last week about Robbie Davis.
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Upper Nile
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The state of NY racing is the result of overregulation rather than a "corrupt" NYRA. Look to The NY State Legislature and the State Racing and Wagering Board not NYRA. If it was left to NYRA we'd have an even lower takeout than what is already the lowest takeout in the country. Dare I say we would also have rebates along with a lower takeout. NYRA folks understand this business
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Upper Nile
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miff, I used only TG data-no pace figs. Roses wired the rest of the field with Yessir being too slo on TG figs to be a factor. Although he did hang in there for longer than I expected. You don't have to be in front battling with a non-contender 46-1 shot to wire a field.
JJP, PD had his shot and got to the lead but I believe Roses battled back instead of PD hanging. Most folks will say PD
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Upper Nile
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Did anyone read my post from LAST FRIDAY?? I thought it would have started a real goode discussion by now.
Phil
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Upper Nile
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Since recent posts have been discussing and comparing "traditional" handicapping factors such as class and pace as compared to TG figs this race may be useful in continuing the discussion. Handicappers over-considering pace as a major factor will likely settle on Perfect Drift and Bowman's Band while underestimating or dismissing the likes of Peace Rules, Roses In May, Gygistar, Y
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Upper Nile
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Been going to Longfellow's for years. It used to be called the Canterbery. Have had nothing but great meals and good times. I love the spacious seating and the prices are reasonable. Enjoy the Whitney and Jim Dandy.
Phil
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Upper Nile
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Come prepared- bring your umbrella, raincoat and rubbers (for your feet). Rain is expected tonight, Tuesday and Wednesday. At this point even if there's not as much rain as is expected It's almost a guarantee the 3 turf races will come off and be run on the main track going 1 1/8 miles-so handicap accordingly and best of luck.
Phil
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Upper Nile
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With increased simulcasting, more otb's and an expanded exotics wagering menu I can't believe NYRA's handle can possibly be 1/3 of what it once was, even adjusting for inflation. Maybe on-track handle is 1/3 of what it was 30 years ago, that I'd believe. There was no on-line wagering that's for sure. Don't remember if NYRA or the regional OTB's offered phone ac
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Upper Nile
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To me TCE's pattern suggests this:
1- The big neg 1 effort in the Blue Grass was too much for The Cliff's Edge to duplicate again-which is what was needed to win-running back in 3 weeks.
2- The Preakness will be TCE's 4th race in 8 weeks and just 5 weeks from the big neg 1 top.
3- I can't consider the 3 1/4 TCE ran in the Derby a non-effort or the kind of effort that woul
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Upper Nile
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Think about Mr. Frisky and Norther Dancer
Post Edited (04-27-04 10:17)
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Upper Nile
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Michael, shhh keep it down about this one-do a rain dance and....See my Pro Prado post dated 4-22. The likely odds will be more than sufficient to bet he can run that 1 again which puts him right there, with a better than odds chance he will move forward. Trainer has been quoted as saying instructions will be to save ground-I like that. Big overlay. IMO.
Regards,
Phil
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Upper Nile
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There's a reason(s) behind Tapit starting off so late last year and only racing twice at 2. There's a reason(s) his first race this year wasen't until mid March. There's a reason(s) behind his bearing-in during the wood. There's a reason he wears front bandages and it's not for decoration. Add to that the respritory problems others in this field having run consis
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Upper Nile
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If Pro Prado gets in and unfortunatly it's looking like it is a big if, he will be added to my list with Pollard & Friend's. This horse has never gone backwards. Starts off the year with a 5 1/2, a good figure to start off the year-not too fast-a nice progressive 3 point improvement from last year and then his new top of a 1 gets duplicated 2 more times! If a pair up of a new top
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Upper Nile
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The new (I guess they're not so new anymore) TG figure-based trainer profile for Dickenson shows he get's another top out of his runners 60% of the time next race out after a new top by at least 1 point. It's a small sample though of only 15 starts. Tapit is slower than several others with just the one 2 in his last and Tapit will need some luck to get a clean come-from-behind tri
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Upper Nile
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How can a trainer have more number of starts under the new tg figure based stats than under the runs-based stats? What don't I understand?
Also I like the new layout of the dam-side data. Tomorrow's Gulfstream sheets are a mixture of the old and new layout which is weird. The new layout just seems to read easier. But I have a question about this also. You added a ?. In the explaina
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Upper Nile
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