Insider trading in the stock market has been ruled to be fraud because it involves breach of a fiduciary duty or a duty to disclose. I am not seeing any duty to disclose in horse racing. The claiming game could not exist otherwise. Regarding appropriate penalties, if Patrick Biancone gets one or two horses in the gate for the Kentucky Derby, what is the over/under on the number of times theby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
For those who have not done so, this interview with Rick Arthur is worth a read: TGJB: Freezing samples would be expensive. Biologists actually have three main types of freezers, -20, -80, and liquid nitrogen (around -180, all temperatures in centigrade). Which freezer you use depends on what you are freezing and how long you need it to last. As you get colder, the cost gets higher. Aby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
There is a mention in the Navarro indictment of a conference call between Navarro and "the operators of a racing stable in California," during which the administration of PED's to "Nanoosh" was discussed. At the time, Nanoosh was owned by Rockingham Ranch, Zayat Stables, LLC and David Bernsen, LLC.by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
San Felipe # Odds 1 84.6 2 3.4 3 28.3 4 1.2 5 2.9 6 3.8 7 127.7by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Gotham # Odds 1 73.1 2 36.5 3 10.5 4 3.5 5 11.7 6 1.8 7 12.6 8 7.5 9 40.2 10 4.5 11 43.8by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Tampa Bay Derby # Odds 1 15.6 2 7.2 3 22.0 4 2.3 5 6.0 6 93.5 7 1.7 8 28.0 9 12.3 10 44.1 11 49.6 12 105.7by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
I think the race that Honor AP missed was the Sham (in early January), not the San Vicente (in early February). The work pattern confirms that. I agree with you that he may need one, but if they bet it that way, I'll probably go with him.by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
California's clenbuterol roles are already much more strict than ARCI rules:by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Thanks. Great info as always.by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Since the Fountain of Youth was the DRF race of the day, I looked to see how the early-win-money adjustments performed. The only significant adjustments were for Dennis' Moment and Ete Indian. In each case, the adjustment moved in the correct direction, but overshot the mark. I have only analyzed the accuracy of the DD method seriously for NYRA. DRF is obviously casting a wider net, anby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Gulfstream 2/29/20 Fountain of Youth # Odds 1 19.1 2 SCR 3 106.4 4 116.5 5 1.7 6 3.2 7 6.6 8 39.3 9 26.4 10 12.2 11 2.7 12 SCRby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
I see DRF is now building this functionality into its online PP products: Will NYRA Bets and other ADWs follow suit?by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Saturday is the Saudi Cup. There is an undercard, but the total purse money in the feature event is $20 million. NYRA Bets is offering wagering. TV coverage of the main event is on FS1.by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Oaklawn 2/17/20 Southwest # Odds 1 7.1 2 4.3 3 11.0 4 5.4 5 15.6 6 6.9 7 30.1 8 15.7 9 1.4by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
I've only done post mortems on the dirt stakes, but I don't see much evidence of a gold rail. Admittedly, the winners of both divisions of the Risen Star took the shortest way around, but saving ground will always be an advantage. The winners of the Mineshaft and Rachel Alexandra were both wide around at least one turn, and there were other stakes horses who seem to have run well relaby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
FG 2/15/20 Risen Star Div. 2 # Odds 1 11.7 2 SCR 3 31.5 4 46.2 5 5.6 6 32.0 7 11.2 8 0.9 9 16.7 10 18.0 11 5.4 12 10.8by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
FG 2/15/20 Risen Star Div. 1 # Odds 1 10.0 2 3.2 3 46.8 4 52.0 5 19.3 6 37.6 7 4.7 8 3.1 9 6.1 10 8.8 11 7.1by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
People who have seen Enforceable in the flesh seem to be impressed and think he'll like the 9f. I would not be surprised to see him take more money than the 7/2 morning line suggests. Moon Over Miami is a puzzle for me. While he's a price, clearly had no chance with that trip in his last at GP, and has the fast number, my impression is that a lot of 2yo's who ran fast numbersby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
The article brought back memories of Miff's opinions regarding the contest when he used to post here. See, e.g., The contest scene is too rich for my blood, but I do enjoy thinking about the strategies involved. Bluechip, I don't think it is a particular revelation that price horses are critical, although I do recall a post-contest narrative last year regarding someone who had reacby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Interesting article on NHC strategy by a seasoned, computer-oriented contest player: Spoiler: Stabbing is recommendedby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Nadal seems to be presenting a puzzle for figure makers. Timeform US had his maiden win slower than Beyer, and then (at least according to Craig Milkowski's Twitter feed) the roles are being reversed for the San Vicente, with TFUS having him going forward and Beyer having him going backward. Looking at the Redboard Room, TG seems to have been in the TFUS camp for the maiden win. In the Sby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Tampa Bay 2/8/20 Sam Davis # Odds 1 3.2 2 7.4 3 SCR 4 0.6 5 64.6 6 5.2 7 50.6 8 15.0by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Santa Anita 2/1/20 Bob Lewis # Odds 1 11.6 2 0.7 3 4.7 4 15.8 5 2.7 6 54.2by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Gulfstream 2/1/20 Holy Bull # Odds 1 2.6 2 24.8 3 1.1 4 3.8 5 63.7 6 5.5 7 19.2by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
Aqueduct 2/1/20 Race 8 # Odds 1 43.6 2 5.2 3 5.5 4 20.1 5 1.4 6 6.2 7 16.6 8 3.8by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
I don't disagree about Thousand Words, but if they hammer the Baffert exacta, I don't think High Velocity stands out that much for 2d.by BitPlayer - Ask the Experts
TG has the last Laurel race that Monday Morning Qb and New Commission ran a lot faster than others, so I think you'll get your prices on those two horses. I prefer Monday Morning Qb just because he is more solid at the level and could wind up alone on the lead. People seem to be projecting a fast pace, but it would not be unusual for jocks to slow things down to make sure they get the distby BitPlayer - Ask the Experts