Anyone see what the chalk,Hofburg and Vino are paying?by big18741 - Ask the Experts
#8 Ransom the Moon won going 8.5f's on poly and 9f's on grass at Woodbine before the trainer change to D'Amato. Distance shouldn't be an issue and he's quick enough to get in good position sitting off Bee Jersey.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Tapit on top has been lethal in this race. 6-3-1-1-0 Tapwrit winner new top Creator winner pair up Lani 3rd with the best figure Frosted 2nd -off race after back to back negative #'s Tonalist winner new top Matterhorn off the board 8th paired up at 40-1 Restoring Hope is an interesting one paced type to stay for a piece with the slower pace expected.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Noble Indy likely helps Pletcher's other horse Vino Rosso. I guess that's a very small bone Winstar threw Pletcher for screwing him with Destin two years ago(had to run Gettysburg as a rabbit for Creator) and maybe this year with Audible getting benched. It could also give Justify a target to follow around the track. NI's mom was a sprinter who completely collapsed the oneby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Hofburg and Vino Rosso check most of the boxes for me.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Needs the other Pletcher and the other Asmussen to go suicidal with Ax Man.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
#7 Laki 15-1 morning line looks interesting. Lightly raced June foal 5yo went on the shelf after getting hurt in this race last year. Paired the top 2nd back off a long layoff so he could be ready for a break through today.Trip wise it sets up to stalk the speed and get first run if good enough. Ran fast over a sloppy sealed track as a 3yo so that shouldn't be an issue. Lewisfieldby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Joe B Was that your money on Tenfold(2-1) in the early wagering?by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Instead he's going a shorter distance with what is usually a hot pace. Met Mile is Bolt's next race as of today.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Short field so far which could lure some filler. Justify Bravazo Sporting Chance Quip Tenfold Diamond King(if he scratches out of the Peter Pan) Good Magic-maybe Lone Sailor-maybe Givemeaminit-maybe Pletcher doesn't run back on two weeks. Instilled Regard is getting a break. Chad doesn't have a lot of options with Good Magic if he isn't running in the Belmont(diby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Saver tri to cut my losses. Bulk of my play(tri's and Supers) had Justify on top with almost as much Hofburg underneath.If My Boy Jack wasn't so over bet and at proper odds he'd have been more of an under use for me.Thought those two would benefit from a fast pace. Neither ran bad,and both got stopped(Hofburg 2x) when they were starting to put their run in. Hofburg would bby big18741 - Ask the Experts
He's gone from my tickets also. Keying Hofburg to move forward another couple points.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Agree 100% with Tread. As for her chances in the Oaks you'd have to think Baffert will move her up a couple of points to play her. I'm playing Mendelssohn to X out in the Derby regardless of what the filly does. Too much of an explosion to an extremely fast # going from grass/poly to dirt even if he is bred for it. I do like some longer priced horses underneath so I might playby big18741 - Ask the Experts
I expect Noble Indy second time blinkers with an aggressive rider in Geroux to be right up there if somebody tries to slow it down. An honest to fast pace helps Repole's other horse.I think you'll see 23 and 46.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Enticed wants an outside trip in the clear to do his best running. It's something to consider if you're keying him.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Good Magic has a beautiful looking sheet,a pedigree for 10f's and a trainer pointing for a Derby Day peak. The knock for me is how slow against the clock and visually(head on replay)that entire Blue Grass field finished the race.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Haskin like last year is giving out some of the figures in his dozen report.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Molesap Two of those on your list that ran back in three weeks weren't Pletcher trained. Lawyer Ron didn't go to Pletcher until later in his career and Harlan's Holiday was trained by McPeek.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Revolutionary had 5 weeks from the La Derby when he ran 3rd.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Maybe more important than the timing for Pletcher is that his horses don't run new tops(2 for 48) in the Derby.His two winners were pair up horses that saved ground. The exacta horses were both pair ups of an earlier race and saved ground on the first turn.Ramon gave out a brilliant ride on Bluegrass Cat to get over on the rail from an outside post going into the first turn. The threeby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Tack on another five for the math.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
In general yes,but that took less than ten minutes to pull off equibase.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
I don't know about the wind effect for the Arkansas Derby or a downhill stretch but that second fraction was really slow if the timer/chart was correct. Magnum Moon on the front end after a 23.34 first quarter crawls 25.26 for the second. In the past 19 Ark Derby's the slowest 2nd quarter for the race was 24.88 and that was by a 43-1 shot on the front end who stopped after a halfby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Came up with four bombs in the first flight that hung around in the tri going back to 2000. 2017 Battle Of Midway 40-1 sat 3rd,4th honest pace 2006 Bluegrass Cat 30-1 was 5th the first couple calls and the pace was fast. 2005 Closing Argument 71-1 sat 6th but the pace was hot. 2002 Proud Citizen 23-1 stalked the winner in a boat race Derbyby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Closers in the tri: 2017 LAL 2016 Exaggerator 2015 None 2014 Commanding Curve 2013 Orb,Golden Soul.Revolutionary 2012 Dullahan 2011 Animal Kingdom 2010 Ice Box 2009 Mine That Bird 2008 Denis of Cork 2007 Street Sense 2006 Steppenwolfer 2005 Giacomo 2004 Imperialism 2003 None 2002 None 2001 Monarchos,Invisible Ink 2000 Aptitude Not all bombs,but with an honest to fast pace yby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Gronkowski gets an automatic bid so Combatant(21) would need a defection.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
FrankD. Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Top 20 in points from KY Derby site are in the > link below. > McKenzie has been removed and Firenze Fire has > been moved outside of it. Someone has some common > sense realizing this is not a Derby Horse or > it’s a typo? The owner of Firenze Fire says he'll run in the Derby if they'by big18741 - Ask the Experts
A well paid workout designed to get him to the next one. Visually nothing to get excited about but who cares? Nice looking sheet headed to CD.by big18741 - Ask the Experts
Using Strike Power,CB and Hofburg in the pk's. Hofburg a price key in the tri's with those two and Audible defensively as a saver. Audible worked horribly his last two but three back was good against Outplay who just jogged in the 10th. Hof had no idea what he was doing in his last race going to the gate and in the stretch.Bred for 9f's + and he gets 2nd lasix(Mott 37% topby big18741 - Ask the Experts
Not a very reliable bunch on figures so the only thing I can come up with is playing this for a hot pace that favors horses in the back half. All Out Blitz figures to gas out of there from the rail and with Runaway Ghost and Fortified Effort outside,one or both are leaving. Agree with Peace and the other one I'm using on top is #10 Dream Baby Dream 10-1 ML. Took him 3 starts to get baby big18741 - Ask the Experts