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Thoro-Graph
I'm thinking State of Honor.
Blinkers on or off they weren't beating Three Rules to the front in the Fla Derby so their only option was to let him go and tuck in from the rail.
Looked like he got rank in behind the Three Rules so I'm guessing they just send on Saturday with no real early gas to deal with.
Second choice Fast and Accurate.
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He's somewhere in between Borel and Rosario as far as saving ground which doesn't really answer your the question.
The horses normal style (not the Bluegrass) puts him in the back half of this field into the first turn.If I had to guess maybe between 12th and 17th.
For sure he's in front of the three stone closers-Lee,Sonneteer and Gunn.
If he draws closer to the rail no wor
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I have no problem betting Hernandez in the Derby.
Solid Churchill regular and he's won some big races in the past.
BC Classic,Whitney on Ft Larned among them.
Can't knock either of his rides on Girven in the Risen Star and LA Derby.
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Hence had a little kidney sweat yesterday but otherwise fine.
This morning he came on and off the track with a lot of kidney sweat.
Also got washy on his neck and under the saddle cloth.
McCraken never gets hot.
Haven't seen it when he ran at Tampa or in the mornings this entire week.
Doesn't matter if he works,jogs or gallops-always the same coming on and off the track.
Th
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Creative Cause was one of Rosario's typical derby rides 3w5w
Sometimes he can get away with it like on Orb another 3w5w on much the best but something to consider if you like Practical Joke.
Rosario Derby mounts:
Shagaf 4w DNF
Frosted 3w5w
Arod 3w 2w(shocker)
Orb 3w5w
CCause 3w5w
B Speed 3w5w from the 2 hole
MMusic 3w4w
Back to Gunny...
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13-0-1-2 if it makes a difference.
Also 2 new tops in the Derby with Gun Runner 3rd last year and Nehro 2nd in 2011.
Curlin was a pair up 3rd.
Pletcher only one top with 3.5 x as many runners.
I haven't looked at the other ten Asmussen horses but from memory they were mostly X's.
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None of Pletchers exacta finishers ran new tops.
Super Saver improved a couple lengths,BG Cat returned to his top(two races back) and so did Invisible Ink(three races back).
If you're looking for a longer odds horse underneath you could make a case for Tapwrit or JBoys both coming in after running new tops followed by off races.
Can't expect a new top for either but a pair up f
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McCraken actually has a nice looking sheet.
Two preps,coming in off pairs,never gone backwards,developed only 3 points from his two year old top.All good stuff if you're looking for a horse to move forward in the Derby.
He's slower than maybe half the field going in and figures to be one of the top four choices.Your move.
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Agree with Fairmount here.
McCraken was the favorite in the last futures pool and single digit odds in pools 2 and 3.
3 for 3 at Churchill with a trainer entry that's won two of these things.
Connections called their shot with the undefeated colt going into his last prep saying they want him to peak on Derby Day and winning the Bluegrass wasn't the objective.
One or two real
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94 Beyer for Classic Empire.
Versatile horse going back to his Bashford Manor win and yesterdays trip was not as easy as the Breeders Futurity and Juvenile wins from last year.
Could be he doesn't like running down on the inside with the kickback-he moved out a couple paths going into the first turn but seemed to handle being in some traffic going down the backside.He had to steady ear
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Playing one or both of the blinkers on horses(Silver Dust,Untrapped)
to move forward.
Could be wrong but Petrov seems like he wants less distance not more.
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It could change,but Motion has him getting his only work at Fair Hill(on the same schedule working 3 weeks after a race)then shipping to Churchill the week of the Derby.
I think he prefers the quiet of Fair Hill as long as possible.
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Silver Charm was another.
Practical Joke is sorta like Normandy Invasion.
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You won't see much of IWC.
One work at Fair Hill in around three weeks then ship to Churchill Derby week.
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Same owner as Always Dreaming.
Read somewhere yesterday Viola might be leaning against going with Battalion Runner.
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Tapwrit was coming off a top,didn't need the points and was under trained for the Bluegrass.
He had one nothing work since the TB Derby and that was two weeks back.
I don't really like him but a return to his top could get him underneath at a price.Bluegrass Cat and Invisible Ink both ran dull races in the Bluegrass.
JBoys was coming off a bigger top,and didn't need the poin
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Richiebee
Wilkes runs the operation but the two time Derby winner is present.
From what I've read and heard they're still a team.
Nafzger is now in the background but he's around to lean on.
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Correct.
Super Saver came in with paired 2's
Bluegrass Cat ran a 1 at Tampa then bounced in the Bluegrass.
Invisible Ink ran a 1 in January then threw in a couple of bounces.
Danza and Revolutionary both coming in with 2's
None of them ran new tops in the Derby.
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Beyer moved all of the 8.5f races(7th,8th,10th,11th) up a couple of points so Malagacy now a 91.
Thinking the Kings Bishop will be in Malagacy's future.
Blinkers on Untrapped in his next couldn't hurt.
Could be he has distance limitations,not quite developed or just not that good.Maybe all of the above.Looks like he runs in spots,makes a move on the turn then stuck in neutral whi
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Stays on Lookin at Lee.
First ride for Asmussen since the Risen Star Feb 25th.
He was out a week with a shoulder issue but like Faimount said Asmussen was using Contreras even when Santana returned.Santana has no other rides for Asmussen the rest of the week besides Lookin at Lee.
Move to Ortiz on Untrapped for this race was announced not long after the Risen Star.
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Expected more than nine horses for a 900k purse.
Besides the four you mentioned Petrov,Untrapped,Uncontested,Silver Dust and Silver Bullion make up the probables.They draw today so maybe a few more enter.
Pace looks legit with Uncontested,Malagacy stretching out and American Anthem.
I can see Untrapped moving forward some to hit the board again.
3rd race off the layoff,paired his two ye
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The extra week for Mo Town makes a lot of sense.
They can come back in five weeks for the Wood then another five into the Derby.
Or they can adjust based on his performance on Saturday.Maybe he needs an extra week and they run him a week later in the Bluegrass(mentioned as a possible next spot along with the Wood)
Just realized Wood and Bluegrass are April 8th which would be 6 weeks from t
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Arrogate is also finishing fast against the clock at the end of both ten furlong races.
Travers last quarter in 23.84
Classic in 24.14
Horse is some kind of super freak and what else can you say about Baffert.
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He might not run a step but at 40-1 I'm playing him to get back to that 2015 Kilroe Mile.
Needs quick pace and somewhere to run coming off the turn.
Same idea as Tourist and Ironicus but they're 15-1 and 4-1.
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Forever Unbridled at 16-1 worth a small stab to finally break thru that string of zero's.
Her Beldame win looked like a paid workout.
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Back in 2014 Chad won something like 11 or 12 straight races at Parx.
Don't know that he had some sort of advantage with Connect yesterday but a few pounds and an easier trip than Gun Runner certainly helped.
Inside seemed neutral yesterday and Geroux gave it up down the backside to follow Nyquist around.
Maybe Connect improved some as a late developing Curlin?
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122 Arrogate
103 Drefong
107 AP Indian
112 Flintshire
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1st leg-favored 2 won 4-6 scratched
2nd leg-favored 2 won 3 scratched
3rd-5
4th-4
5th-2
6th-4
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Requite looks up against it in the Vanderbilt on # power but he's a lightly raced horse who was shelved(hoof issues) after last years Amsterdam.
Came back healthy off the long layoff pairing up his 3yo #'s.
2nd race back I'm hoping for the bust out race at 12-1 ML in his seventh career start.
Agree with Mohaymen in the Dandy.
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