Show all posts by user
Thoro-Graph
TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I'm not going to do it as ROTW (or discuss it
> here, I'll save it for the analysis), but there us
> a VERY live longshot in the BG-- especially if you
> have been paying attention to what (and who) is
> going on down there. Maybe more than one.
>
> Talk amongst yourselves...
OK, I a
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
fasteddie Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Ever So Lucky is my play here, mostly on "feel"...
> not meant for the Swale, will love going longer,
> and it is rare for a Sheppard-trained horse to
> work 5/8ths this fast.
>
> If I lose, I am rooting for Hansen to run a HUGE
> number, so he and 'Gem take big $$$ on DD, setti
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Mike
This is not a snarky question, but please tell me what you mean by brilliance. I watched all those races and am not sure what you saw. For my part I did not think I was looking at worldbeaters.
Al
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Can't comment on Rosario...it's hard for me to watch or bet on what goes on out there. But that's what I'll be doing today, as they are God-less there and at Hallandale Beach (joke.) Gotta comment on Stevens: I wouldn't give you Gary if you stuffed 10 Joels in my pocket. Gimme a break big guy.
I will also comment on Creative Cause who appeared to me to be giving it
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Appreciate the comments, but what is 'great?' Finishing third to a sprinter in an average Wood, then winning the Triple Crown? I'm not trying to be snarky, but just making a point. These are young horses, developing race to race. It's a little too early to be looking for 'great.' Gemologist is undefeated...no other contending three year old can say as much. And
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
We will have to wait to see what kind of number they get. I was not paying close attention to the races during the day. Most important, this horse keeps improving a modest amount, race to race...he's going in the right direction and most have not really assigned any importance to the fact that he is undefeated. Also, that he has won at Churchill. He has won most of his races with speed a
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
richiebee Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> alm Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > So here's what I see.
>
> > Personally I don't think is a particularly
> tough
> > group. I'll stick with Pletcher in this
> > case...with a horse that appears ready for a
> >
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
msola1 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
>
> On another topic, since you seem to know your way
> around horses and trainers, look at The Lumber
> Guy's workouts. Is it likely he was worked 3
> furlongs on February 24 and then raced on February
> 25? Or is it more likely an error in the workout
> report somewhere along the line?
>
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Agree on Caleb's Posse. As for the way I view the Wood, I'm trying to take it outside the context of what I want to have happen. I think the guys at Winstar have managed their horse for a 2-race series, the Wood and the Derby. If I am right he is pretty fully cranked for this race and we will see a new stronger number, which they will hope can be paired a month later. Also remember
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
So here's what I see.
Alpha and My Adonis probably have the best numbers in the race and there doesn't seem to be any reason to assume they are not contenders here.
Gemologist has a forward looking pattern with small steps ahead. One more move forward puts him in the mix with the two above.
Although Street Life also has a gradually improving pattern, he may be slower than thes
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Their general riding styles with horses with pace suggest that JV will be up on the neck of the frontrunner in the early part of the race and JC will have Gemologist as close as he can hold him behind the pace. If Gemologist is a 9 furlong (or longer) horse, he probably can be expected to take this one. If he turns out to be more like that Discreet Cat horse of TAP's, we should look for a
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Are you saying that you think this is a tough race to bet or a tough race to win?
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Dave Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Call me crazy, but I think they don't want Hansen
> too keen like he was in the Holy Bull. He's
> already run off once on two week's rest, so maybe
> this is one of those who just does better with
> more racing. It was the norm 10 years ago.
I don't think you're crazy Dave.
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
sighthound Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> A horse can have a "ticking time bomb", like
> sesamoids about to blow apart, that are visible on
> radiographs, but won't make the horse visibly lame
> or unable to pass a vet inspection.
>
> Edit: "transparency" most difficult to accomplish
> within the cheapest le
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
I appreciate the subsequent posts about poly to dirt moves, but this gives him 7 days less rest before the Derby than running in the Wood, plus what appears to be shaping up as a tougher race. Maybe. Those seem to me to be disadvantages, but it wouldn't be the first time I was wrong. Regardless, pending the pps I will likely take a position against him at Keeneland and a bigger position a
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Hansen - 12 years ago
Help me here, gentlemen. They've announced Hansen will run in the Blue Grass and I can't understand why there is any advantage to this move. What are they thinking?
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Sorry about your day...for sure it is the biggest internal redistribution of US and European oil dollars among the sheiks that is possible and should probably always be viewed that way, not to mention how absolutely boring it is for what is supposed to be the biggest day of racing in the world...I mean watching a bunch of guys in white robes celebrate the home team over and over just ain't D
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
miff Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Frank D,
>
> How's it going up north.
>
> TCI kinda paired his Beyer 95 roughly equaling a
> TG 2.75(backwards move on TG where TCI was faster
> going in than Rags and Beyer).Interesting in that
> Reveron might get the same or better fig than TCI
> having been wider than winner off bo
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Do we know if Churchill will repeat the Derby/Oaks days handicapping contest they staged last year?
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Good call....I know that 6 feet for sure. Try to build a building there.
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
This was not a race I took seriously, but bet Ender BECAUSE JV made the trip there. Looking back on it, however, I conclude that TAP sent the horse because it was a good alternative (to the FLA Derby or the WOOD) for making Derby earnings, but not because he had a lot of faith in the horse. It was a 'come to Jesus' moment for Ender and he just proved not to have the stamina. I think
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
This was a very well crafted and cynical article with in depth coverage of problems mainly at quarterhorse tracks interspersed with occasional references to the thoroughbred scene. Extraordinarily biased in that regard and written to make an exaggerated point.
That doesn't mean I disagree with you Jerry Brown. I think you are a sane unbiased voice and hope you always stay positive in yo
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Papa
Hang around...you are definitely a more interesting guy than the Adam Smith types who think racing NEEDS to stand on its own, like the auto industry does---oops, let me think of another...how about agriculture, which feeds us off government subsidy---oops, not that one either...how about the pharmaceuticals who crave medicare reimbursements for killer drugs---oops, find another...how abo
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
How many horses do you have in training pal? How many horses have you bred in your life? Seriously, I would like to know.
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Funny Cide Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> alm Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> >
> > Excuse me. You think there would even BE
> > horseracing without gambling? You like to
> watch
> > horses running in circles for the thrill of it?
>
> > That's another planet fro
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
TreadHead Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The only ridiculous conjunction I see is the using
> of a broad brush to paint horse racing and
> brick-mortar casino gaming into the same bucket.
> The 2 have practically nothing to do with each
> other, including the fact that casino gaming is
> house-advantage based and not parimutuel.
>
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
JimP Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I am a long time fan of this sport, but I don't
> see why it should be subsidized. Any business
> should stand on its own. When the subsidies are
> removed the industry economics will adjust
> accordingly. If the industry can't sustain itself
> without subsidies then I guess it shouldn't
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
Is Chris Christie talking about millionaire horsemen like ME?
The only thing missing in my pocket are the millions. What a stupid remark from a guy who never met a free meal he didn't like.
New Jersey SFB,POS.
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
ajkreider Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Are they really thinking of wheeling him back in
> two weeks??
>
> Since he needs earnings, I'd think they would go
> with what looks like a softer spot (after
> yesterday) in Arkansas or Illinois.
I read it's the Wood...is that right? If so, he gets Hansen. That doesn't knoc
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts
ajkreider Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> He looked . . . . pretty damn good - especially
> off the layoff. Made a very nice horse look
> ordinary. It will get a top number.
>
> Not quite sure I'm that wild about 23-1. But if
> he blows them away in the Wood or Arkansas Derby,
> it could look like a very good bet. Still have a
by
alm
-
Ask the Experts