covelj70 Wrote:
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> Sheets tell us there is an analogy to be made
> between BB and AP. Not a perfect analog but
> relevant.
>
> Both came into Derby off fast new top (obviously
> BB faster).
>
> Both came into derby looking like they could
> bounce but instead freaked.
>
> I know many on the board salivating to send it in
> against AP in the Preakness but I personally
> believe as long as he regains his weight, he will
> win the Preakness even going backwards and then
> the chance to beat him is in the Belmomt.
I can remember the Oakland Raiders being on a tremendous Monday Night Football winning streak and everyone saying they had won/covered something like 18 straight and that's when I stepped up and said, "Who Cares".
What has been done before only matters in relevant context.
Didn't Big Brown win off like a locomotive in his Derby? And you're saying aching hoof Adrian Peterson coming off a Life and Death Derby effort where so much in the race collapsed is really too good to bother taking on in the Preakness? That waiting for the Belmont is the only way to beat him?
Here's my perspective. I do not for a single solitary moment believe this horse is anywhere near as good as gushing Bob Baffert and his maniacal revolving exorcist induced little brat seem to think he is. More and more its looking like Peterson is a decent horse in a mediocre crop.
But let's put this another way, when Peterson gets beat he's likely going down as odds on and with luck out of the money. Do you really want to miss that boat, especially if it sails in the Preakness? Yet in still other words, there is only going to be one chance to let the good times roll against this one. After he's beat, the party is over.