covelj70 Wrote:
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> T Sev,
>
> I have to say, I love your style
>
> Would be cool if you didn't ALWAYS automatically
> disagree with everything I post but hey, that's
> what makes a market!
>
> I think I know who you were referring to in that
> little diatribe and if it's who I think it is,
> then that's honestly one of the most amusing
> things in the history of this board
>
> Relative to the horse,
>
> I use the numbers to tell me how brilliant a horse
> is and the fact that this horse just ran the
> second faster Derby in history tells me you are
> selling him short in terms of how good he is.
>
> Four horses in this Derby ran figures/races that
> would have won last year's Derby and sure Big
> Brown won off like a locomotive in his Derby but
> he didn't have 2 other negative figure horses
> chasing him in that race like AP did in this
> race.
>
> He could certainly lose the Preakness but I think
> it's much more likely that he will lose the
> Belmont.
>
> He could bounce three points and likely still win
> the Preakness, just like BB did.
>
> That would be a pretty awful pattern for the
> Belmont and that's where I would take my stand
>
> However, what if this horse pairs his 3 neg in the
> Preakness and then goes into the Belmont with
> paired tops and never having gone backward.
>
> I will still play against him in the Belmont but
> not to anywhere near the same extent as I would if
> he wins the Preakness while going backwards
Cov, first off thank you. The diatribe was intended to be funny and you're spot on regarding the subject. You do know he threw up after that fit don't you? Projectile vomited, just like the character in the movie. I'm not making that up.
You did make a couple posts that I disagreed with after making one I endorsed. I really think Materiality is the star of this crop. Time will tell. I'm also not convinced that AP is anywhere near a Big Brown. I'm gonna test that soon, just want a few more horses in the race. I know there's figure disputes, I'm not gonna address that. I'm going to address the 1,2,3 around the track thing. It's possible three pace horses were the best going in and the best coming out, but my experience says there's other reasons for such a result.
I'll look to agree with one of your next posts!
